Insights / us
FCX
Freeport-McMoRan Inc.US05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.41%
P05–P95 span
18.19%
Neighbors
27
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+1.65%
Outer 90%
7/8(88%)
Middle 50%
3/8(38%)
Above median
4/8(50%)
Below median
4/8(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.76%P25: -1.98%P50: 0.41%P75: 3.85%P95: 12.44%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 26.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.