Insights / us
FCX
Freeport-McMoRan Inc.US04/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.64%
P05–P95 span
11.44%
Neighbors
40
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-9.01%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.41%P25: -3.67%P50: -1.64%P75: 0.43%P95: 3.03%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 39.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.