Insights / us
FANG
Diamondback Energy, Inc.US05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.29%
P05–P95 span
8.29%
Neighbors
38
Sharpness
0.83
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.00%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.36%P25: -1.18%P50: 0.29%P75: 1.72%P95: 4.93%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 37.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.