Insights / us
FANG
Diamondback Energy, Inc.US05/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.39%
P05–P95 span
18.19%
Neighbors
40
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.95%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.91%P25: -2.00%P50: -0.39%P75: 1.66%P95: 8.27%
Computed at: 05/15/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 39.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.