Insights / us
FANG
Diamondback Energy, Inc.US04/22/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.36%
P05–P95 span
9.12%
Neighbors
38
Sharpness
0.82
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.24%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.32%P25: -1.79%P50: -0.36%P75: 0.90%P95: 3.80%
Computed at: 04/23/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 37.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.