Insights / us
F
Ford Motor CompanyUS05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.78%
P05–P95 span
13.71%
Neighbors
28
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-12.86%
Outer 90%
1/9(11%)
Middle 50%
0/9(0%)
Above median
0/9(0%)
Below median
9/9(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.21%P25: -1.46%P50: 0.78%P75: 2.89%P95: 6.50%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 27.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.