Insights / us
F
Ford Motor CompanyUS05/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.56%
P05–P95 span
14.03%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+26.84%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.75%P25: -0.86%P50: 0.56%P75: 2.97%P95: 6.29%
Computed at: 05/14/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 9.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.