Insights / us
EXR
Extra Space Storage Inc.US05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.38%
P05–P95 span
11.53%
Neighbors
36
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+5.17%
Outer 90%
8/8(100%)
Middle 50%
6/8(75%)
Above median
4/8(50%)
Below median
4/8(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.95%P25: 0.54%P50: 2.38%P75: 4.78%P95: 7.58%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 35.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.