Insights / us
EXPD
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.US04/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.97%
P05–P95 span
15.22%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.71%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.43%P25: -1.22%P50: 0.97%P75: 3.27%P95: 5.79%
Computed at: 04/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 15.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.