Insights / us
EXPD
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.US04/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.88%
P05–P95 span
9.79%
Neighbors
32
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.22%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.65%P25: 0.03%P50: 1.88%P75: 3.22%P95: 6.15%
Computed at: 04/27/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 31.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.