Insights / us
EXPD
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.US04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.00%
P05–P95 span
12.11%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.06%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.14%P25: -0.39%P50: 1.00%P75: 3.04%P95: 8.97%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 16.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.