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EXE
Expand Energy CorporationUS06/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.22%
P05–P95 span
11.55%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
-5.35%
Outer 90%
4/6(67%)
Middle 50%
2/6(33%)
Above median
2/6(33%)
Below median
4/6(67%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.44%P25: -2.01%P50: -0.22%P75: 1.65%P95: 5.11%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 19.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.