Insights / us
EXE
Expand Energy CorporationUS04/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.24%
P05–P95 span
15.21%
Neighbors
29
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.91%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.74%P25: 0.35%P50: 2.24%P75: 4.89%P95: 11.47%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 28.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.