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EXE
Expand Energy CorporationUS04/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.05%
P05–P95 span
12.15%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.20%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.63%P25: -3.32%P50: -1.05%P75: 0.70%P95: 5.52%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 8.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.