Insights / us
ETN
Eaton Corporation plcUS05/25/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.11%
P05–P95 span
16.23%
Neighbors
33
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.41%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.20%P25: -2.05%P50: -0.11%P75: 1.47%P95: 6.02%
Computed at: 05/26/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 32.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.