Insights / us
ESS
Essex Property Trust, Inc.US05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.53%
P05–P95 span
11.12%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+1.70%
Outer 90%
8/9(89%)
Middle 50%
4/9(44%)
Above median
9/9(100%)
Below median
0/9(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.36%P25: -3.10%P50: -0.53%P75: 1.06%P95: 3.76%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 34.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.