Insights / us
EQR
Equity ResidentialUS06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.09%
P05–P95 span
14.18%
Neighbors
26
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
+1.14%
Outer 90%
7/7(100%)
Middle 50%
2/7(29%)
Above median
6/7(86%)
Below median
1/7(14%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.31%P25: -1.94%P50: -0.09%P75: 1.96%P95: 6.87%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 25.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.