Insights / us
EQR
Equity ResidentialUS05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.22%
P05–P95 span
13.23%
Neighbors
29
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.54%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.55%P25: -1.33%P50: 0.22%P75: 1.78%P95: 5.68%
Computed at: 05/22/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 28.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.