Insights / us
EQR
Equity ResidentialUS05/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.05%
P05–P95 span
12.62%
Neighbors
32
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.68%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.88%P25: -1.90%P50: 0.05%P75: 2.81%P95: 6.74%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 31.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.