Insights / us
ENPH
Enphase Energy, Inc.US06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+4.43%
P05–P95 span
25.38%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.49
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
-13.62%
Outer 90%
1/7(14%)
Middle 50%
1/7(14%)
Above median
2/7(29%)
Below median
5/7(71%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.75%P25: 0.36%P50: 4.43%P75: 9.04%P95: 18.63%
Computed at: 06/02/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 14.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.