Insights / us
EMR
Emerson Electric Co.US05/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.57%
P05–P95 span
11.56%
Neighbors
32
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.60%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.32%P25: -1.25%P50: 0.57%P75: 2.47%P95: 7.24%
Computed at: 05/15/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 31.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.