Insights / us
EMN
Eastman Chemical CompanyUS05/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.08%
P05–P95 span
13.33%
Neighbors
29
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.93%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.62%P25: -1.98%P50: -0.08%P75: 2.28%P95: 7.71%
Computed at: 05/14/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 28.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.