Insights / us
EMN
Eastman Chemical CompanyUS04/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.36%
P05–P95 span
12.57%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.24%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.19%P25: -1.38%P50: 0.36%P75: 1.70%P95: 7.39%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 19.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.