Insights / us
EL
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.US06/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.03%
P05–P95 span
13.31%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
1 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+1
+2.55%
Outer 90%
0/1(0%)
Middle 50%
0/1(0%)
Above median
1/1(100%)
Below median
0/1(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.80%P25: -2.13%P50: -0.03%P75: 2.21%P95: 7.50%
Computed at: 06/10/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 24.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.