EG

Everest Group, Ltd.US04/23/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.76%
P05–P95 span
14.61%
Neighbors
32
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.58%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.84%P25: -0.12%P50: 1.76%P75: 4.04%P95: 7.77%

Computed at: 04/24/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 31.4 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.