Insights / us
EG
Everest Group, Ltd.US04/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.16%
P05–P95 span
13.50%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.81%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.37%P25: -1.18%P50: 0.16%P75: 1.66%P95: 8.13%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 23.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.