Insights / us
EFX
Equifax Inc.US05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.35%
P05–P95 span
13.06%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-2.22%
Outer 90%
7/9(78%)
Middle 50%
1/9(11%)
Above median
8/9(89%)
Below median
1/9(11%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.84%P25: -1.01%P50: 0.35%P75: 2.21%P95: 9.22%
Computed at: 05/29/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 34.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.