Insights / us
EFX
Equifax Inc.US05/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.38%
P05–P95 span
13.74%
Neighbors
33
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.36%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.78%P25: 0.04%P50: 1.38%P75: 2.84%P95: 7.95%
Computed at: 05/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 32.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.