Insights / us
EFX
Equifax Inc.US04/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.43%
P05–P95 span
10.61%
Neighbors
26
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-8.09%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.10%P25: -1.78%P50: 0.43%P75: 2.26%P95: 5.50%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 25.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.