Insights / us
ED
Consolidated Edison, Inc.US05/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.33%
P05–P95 span
17.70%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.65
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.31%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.79%P25: -0.96%P50: 1.33%P75: 4.29%P95: 11.91%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.