Insights / us
ED
Consolidated Edison, Inc.US05/04/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.57%
P05–P95 span
10.19%
Neighbors
35
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.56%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.85%P25: -1.04%P50: 0.57%P75: 2.09%P95: 6.34%
Computed at: 05/05/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 34.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.