Insights / us
ED
Consolidated Edison, Inc.US04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.33%
P05–P95 span
8.61%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.83
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.39%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.57%P25: -2.44%P50: -0.33%P75: 0.72%P95: 2.05%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 24.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.