DXCM

DexCom, Inc.US05/31/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.86%
P05–P95 span
14.14%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
+2.39%
Outer 90%
8/8(100%)
Middle 50%
3/8(38%)
Above median
4/8(50%)
Below median
4/8(50%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -3.82%P25: -0.87%P50: 0.86%P75: 3.60%P95: 10.32%

Computed at: 06/01/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.2 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.