DXCM

DexCom, Inc.US05/21/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.11%
P05–P95 span
11.46%
Neighbors
33
Sharpness
0.77
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.56%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.16%P25: -1.90%P50: -0.11%P75: 1.29%P95: 4.30%

Computed at: 05/22/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 32.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.