DXCM

DexCom, Inc.US05/07/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.56%
P05–P95 span
10.76%
Neighbors
22
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+18.37%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.04%P25: -3.66%P50: -1.56%P75: 0.40%P95: 3.72%

Computed at: 05/08/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 21.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.