Insights / us
DVA
DaVita Inc.US04/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.82%
P05–P95 span
9.35%
Neighbors
29
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+30.61%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.35%P25: -0.96%P50: 0.82%P75: 2.27%P95: 5.00%
Computed at: 04/27/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 27.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.