Insights / us
DVA
DaVita Inc.US04/06/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.36%
P05–P95 span
11.91%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.51%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
9/10(90%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.43%P25: -3.61%P50: -1.36%P75: 0.56%P95: 2.49%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 29.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.