Insights / us
DRI
Darden Restaurants, Inc.US05/17/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.12%
P05–P95 span
11.93%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.24%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.40%P25: -0.36%P50: 1.12%P75: 4.13%P95: 8.53%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.