Insights / us
DOW
Dow Inc.US06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.65%
P05–P95 span
13.88%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
-3.80%
Outer 90%
5/5(100%)
Middle 50%
1/5(20%)
Above median
0/5(0%)
Below median
5/5(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.02%P25: -2.73%P50: -0.65%P75: 1.00%P95: 4.86%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.