Insights / us
DOV
Dover CorporationUS04/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.98%
P05–P95 span
24.05%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.52
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.34%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -18.13%P25: -5.73%P50: -1.98%P75: 0.56%P95: 5.92%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 33.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.