Insights / us
DLTR
Dollar Tree, Inc.US05/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.24%
P05–P95 span
12.04%
Neighbors
21
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+33.49%
Outer 90%
0/10(0%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.77%P25: -1.88%P50: 0.24%P75: 2.21%P95: 7.27%
Computed at: 05/14/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 20.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.