DIS

The Walt Disney CompanyUS04/23/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

+1.66%

P05–P95 span

12.78%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.74

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+4.27%

Outer 90%

9/10(90%)

Middle 50%

4/10(40%)

Above median

3/10(30%)

Below median

7/10(70%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.28%P25: -0.10%P50: 1.66%P75: 3.81%P95: 8.50%

Computed at: 04/24/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 35.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.