Insights / us
DG
Dollar General CorporationUS06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.88%
P05–P95 span
12.99%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
+7.12%
Outer 90%
4/5(80%)
Middle 50%
3/5(60%)
Above median
3/5(60%)
Below median
2/5(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.52%P25: -0.81%P50: 1.88%P75: 3.74%P95: 8.47%
Computed at: 06/04/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 22.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.