Insights / us
DECK
Deckers Outdoor CorporationUS04/15/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.27%
P05–P95 span
9.47%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-6.62%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.00%P25: -0.67%P50: 1.27%P75: 3.22%P95: 6.47%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 24.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.