Insights / us
DECK
Deckers Outdoor CorporationUS04/13/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.69%
P05–P95 span
11.76%
Neighbors
37
Sharpness
0.76
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.29%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.27%P25: -0.79%P50: 0.69%P75: 2.46%P95: 6.49%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 36.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.