Insights / us
DE
Deere & CompanyUS05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.08%
P05–P95 span
13.74%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+7.93%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.94%P25: -3.61%P50: -0.08%P75: 1.61%P95: 4.80%
Computed at: 05/22/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 24.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.