Insights / us
DE
Deere & CompanyUS04/15/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.24%
P05–P95 span
10.10%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.80
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+2.97%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.83%P25: -2.50%P50: -0.24%P75: 1.14%P95: 3.27%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 24.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.