Insights / us
DAL
Delta Air Lines, Inc.US04/23/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.61%
P05–P95 span
13.12%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.63%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.28%P25: -1.40%P50: 0.61%P75: 3.18%P95: 7.84%
Computed at: 04/24/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 18.3 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.