Insights / us
CZR
Caesars Entertainment, Inc.US04/22/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.14%
P05–P95 span
9.67%
Neighbors
31
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.02%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.14%P25: -0.25%P50: 1.14%P75: 3.25%P95: 6.53%
Computed at: 04/23/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 30.1 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.