Insights / us
CTVA
Corteva, Inc.US06/08/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.79%
P05–P95 span
20.98%
Neighbors
34
Sharpness
0.58
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
-0.53%
Outer 90%
2/2(100%)
Middle 50%
1/2(50%)
Above median
0/2(0%)
Below median
2/2(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.55%P25: -1.37%P50: 0.79%P75: 4.76%P95: 12.43%
Computed at: 06/09/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 33.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.